Category Archives: Barbarians rugby betting

Wales v Barbarians, Betting Tips, Preview, & Odds. June 2nd 2012, 14:00 pm GMT, Millenium Stadium

 Best Betting/Team  Win  Handicap
Wales 2/5 -6 10/11
Barbarians 5/2 +8 10/11

Media Coverage

BBC

Form Guide

Essentially this is the Wales ‘A’ side so we can’t really determine any real form on the whole. We can look at the large number of Ospreys players starting though and infer that they are at least bringing some match winning form into the game having pipped Leinster yet again at the death last Sunday in that cracking game that had both teams out on their feet by the end. They defied the pre-game betting on Sunday, and credit to them for sticking with Leinster and overtaking them. The rest of the team is a bit of a mish-mash, with a fair few Scarlets players, and the best we can say is that there will be some motivation here for the new caps, with a small number of spots available still on the Welsh touring squad.
The Barbarians were hammered by an average England in their first game, and followed up by beating an Ireland second team with a better starting fifteen, and a capable fly half in Contepomi. As you’d expect they’ve gelled better the more games they have played together, with the defence improving slightly against Ireland. But reports are they haven’t been short of a few nights on the town, so fatigue could really be an issue towards the end of this game.

Teams

For me two things stand out on the Barbarians team- they have no back up ten, and Stephen Donald can’t pass a ball (or couldn’t all season for Bath nor last week v England anyway). Also, Francois Louw and Gorgodze should win a lot of ball if they go foraging. For Wales, young Harry Robinson on the wing versus Shane Williams is vulnerable, as is Brew v Nacewa, and Williams v Muliaina. The Barbarians should win the scrum hands down aswell.

Barbarians: 15 Mils Muliana, 14 Isa Nacewa, 13 Mike Tindall, 12 Casey Laulala, 11 Shane Williams, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Richie Rees, 8 Mamuka Gorgodze, 7 Johnnie Beattie, 6 Francois Louw, 5 Mark Chisholm, 4 Mick O’Driscoll, 3 John Smit (capt), 2 Benoit August, 1 Duncan Jones.
Replacements: 16 Aled de Malmanche, 17 Neemia Tialata, 18 Anton Van Zyl, 19 Akapusi Qera, 20 Rory Lawson, 21 Sailosi Tagicakibau, 22 Cedric Heymans.

Wales: 15 Liam Williams, 14 Harry Robinson, 13 Andrew Bishop, 12 James Hook, 11 Aled Brew, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Lloyd Williams, 8 Ryan Jones, 7 Justin Tipuric, 6 Josh Turnbull, 5 Ian Evans, 4 Alun Wyn Jones, 3 Rhodri Jones, 2 Matthew Rees (c), 1 Rhys Gill.
Replacements: 16 Richard Hibbard, 17 Paul James, 18 Aaron Shingler, 19 Martyn Williams, 20 Rhys Webb, 21 Adam Warren, 22 Will Harries

Wales v Barbarians betting tips

This is a strange one. On one hand you’ve a load of Welsh lads that are playing for places on the plane down under, and on the other you’ve a side full of star studded names that should wipe floor with them. Both teams should be fatigued,( the large Ospreys contingent for Wales should be anyway from last Sunday), and the Babaas have been out on the beer all week. Either team could win this game, it’s basically whoever wants it more. The way to go in the betting is most definitely for tryscorers. Halftime barbarians/full time wales also appeals if you think the effects of the drink will catch up with the Babaas at the end. You could do a lot worse than backing the Babaas to win though. There’s few players I’d swap into the babaas team from this Wales team, except for Biggar in for Donald.

  1. Barbarians win- theres just too much quality here to ignore this bet. If they want to win, they can win. 5/2 is tempting.
  2. Anytime tryscorer Muliaina at 9/4 is a steal. Gorgodze surely has to get one try this series and he’s 4/1. Nacewa is 5/4, a little short, but is on superb tryscoring form and his opposition will have dificulty stopping him. If you fancy a bit of a flutter, Gorgodze is 90/1 for a hattrick in Paddy Power!
  3. As mentioned above, Barbarians half time/wales full time is 13/2
  4. Lastly, as mentioned, this game could go either way, and backing the Barbarians to win by a decent margin isn’t as mental as you might think. The Barbarians 1-12 appeals though at 10/3,…. in that, if they do get ahead, and the game is won, you can’t see them holding the line grimly with 5 minutes to go.

Weather- it could be wet, so be careful if you’re backing the overs

Referee- Allan Rolland- expect plenty of Welsh moaning if he does somthing they don’t like.

Barbarians v Ireland, Betting Preview, Tuesday May 29th, 19.45 GMT, Kingsholm, Gloucester

Game not televised, but live updates should be here http://matchdaylive.irishrugby.ie/index.php

Betting Best Win/Handicaps

Ireland -7 10/11, Barbarians +9 10/11

Barbarians 11/4, Ireland 1/3.

Teams

Ireland (XV v Barbarians): K Earls; C Gilroy, D Cave, P Wallace, S Zebo; R O’Gara, C Murray; B Wilkinson, M Sherry, D Fitzpatrick, D Tuohy, D Ryan, J Muldoon, C Henry, P O’Mahony.

Replacements: R Best, R Loughney, D O’Callaghan, J Coughlan, P Marshall, N Spence, A Trimble.

Barbarians team v Ireland: Cedric Heymans; Paul Sackey, Mike Tindall, Damien Traille, Iain Balshaw; Felipe Contepomi, Rory Lawson; Duncan Jones, Benoit August, John Afoa, Mick O’Driscoll (capt), Cornelius van Zyl, Mamuka Gorgodze, Francois Louw, Raphael Lakafia

Replacements: Aled de Malmanche, Neemia Tialata, Pelu Taele, Akapusi Qera, Richie Rees, Stephen Donald, Isa Nacewa

Form

Not much form here really to speak of.

You have an Ireland team devoid of Leinster players (plenty of motivation for this lot to show they don’t need them!), and a Barbarians team mostly changed from Saturday’s loss to England, barring one or two who were substituted early, or came on late. Ronan O Gara at ten has more caps (121) than the entire Irish other fourteen players (98), versus a Barbarians side with many many hundreds of caps (that I haven’t counted). If we forget about the fact that Kidney hasn’t got a full deck to choose from, then Irish form in general hasn’t been great., with a sound beating at the hands of England (without a scrum, O Connell, and BOD) rounding off a disappointing 6 nations campaign that promised so much at its outset. But finally there’s some new blood in this Irish side, and with a few last spots up for grabs for the trip to New Zealand, they won’t be short on motivation. It’s a decent Irish side with plenty of tryscoring and defensive ability in the backs, a tested international halfback pairing, and a dynamic (if somewhat lightweight) pack. And going on last saturday, there is very little that you could call a defensive line with this barbarians squad- there will be holes everywhere for Ireland to exploit.

The Babaas on the other hand have bucket loads of experience, and when you look at their team sheet, you really wish the game was televised. Contepomi was lively against England for the last quarter, Tindall had a great game surprisingly, scoring a try, and that backrow looks fearsome, with Louw a breakdown expert, and Gorgodze and Lakafia wrecking balls. And look at that front row- tasty. But like a Kebab on a night with no beer, that perceived tastiness might quickly disappear. That is, will they gel? On the evidence of the England game, the short answer is…probably not. Many of these players are coming off punishing seasons, with the likes of Gorgodze having just played on Friday night in a bruising French playoff encounter. Their set piece was pretty non-existent v England, particularly the lineout, and you’d imagine O Gara will bring alot of structured territorial play, to go along with his accomplished passing game. England were not amazing in attack, butchering a few easy chances, and with very little high class structured back interplay, but still managed to put fifty points on the barbarians (excepting one try was quite exceptionally put together I have to admit). Ireland are well capable of matching the English back play, with Gilroy and Earls in particular in for a few tries i suspect. One area of concern for Ireland will be the inexperienced front row up against Jones, August and Afoa. But you’d expect the lack of playing time together across the Babaas team, (along with the nights out on the beer, and the serious heat), will favour an Irish team with a goal of getting on the NZ tour, playing time together, and a proper coaching setup.

Betting

There will be bags of tries here, but with no try scorer markets up yet, i can only give names, and maybe odds will come out, though possibly not as the game hasn’t been picked up by any TV stations (good work RTE, the Irish national broadcaster…). Earls, Gilroy, Cave, O Mahony, Murray, Sackey, Traille, Nacewa (if he gets off the bench) Zebo ( a shoe in for a score) should all come close.

1. This game could go either way really , but I have to take the evidence of a severe lack of preparation on Saturday against England, and the fact that these Irish players know each other’s games, and conclude Ireland will at least win. One has to think that Ireland -8 at 10/11 is the way to go if you want a punt on this game. Kidney will want them to play tight and get ahead, and when it inevitably opens up he will want tries, and instruct them to go after them, otherwise he learns nothing.

Weather- sunny and hot.

Referee- Doesnt matter.