Essentially this is the Wales ‘A’ side so we can’t really determine any real form on the whole. We can look at the large number of Ospreys players starting though and infer that they are at least bringing some match winning form into the game having pipped Leinster yet again at the death last Sunday in that cracking game that had both teams out on their feet by the end. They defied the pre-game betting on Sunday, and credit to them for sticking with Leinster and overtaking them. The rest of the team is a bit of a mish-mash, with a fair few Scarlets players, and the best we can say is that there will be some motivation here for the new caps, with a small number of spots available still on the Welsh touring squad.
The Barbarians were hammered by an average England in their first game, and followed up by beating an Ireland second team with a better starting fifteen, and a capable fly half in Contepomi. As you’d expect they’ve gelled better the more games they have played together, with the defence improving slightly against Ireland. But reports are they haven’t been short of a few nights on the town, so fatigue could really be an issue towards the end of this game.
For me two things stand out on the Barbarians team- they have no back up ten, and Stephen Donald can’t pass a ball (or couldn’t all season for Bath nor last week v England anyway). Also, Francois Louw and Gorgodze should win a lot of ball if they go foraging. For Wales, young Harry Robinson on the wing versus Shane Williams is vulnerable, as is Brew v Nacewa, and Williams v Muliaina. The Barbarians should win the scrum hands down aswell.
Barbarians: 15 Mils Muliana, 14 Isa Nacewa, 13 Mike Tindall, 12 Casey Laulala, 11 Shane Williams, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Richie Rees, 8 Mamuka Gorgodze, 7 Johnnie Beattie, 6 Francois Louw, 5 Mark Chisholm, 4 Mick O’Driscoll, 3 John Smit (capt), 2 Benoit August, 1 Duncan Jones.
Replacements: 16 Aled de Malmanche, 17 Neemia Tialata, 18 Anton Van Zyl, 19 Akapusi Qera, 20 Rory Lawson, 21 Sailosi Tagicakibau, 22 Cedric Heymans.
Wales: 15 Liam Williams, 14 Harry Robinson, 13 Andrew Bishop, 12 James Hook, 11 Aled Brew, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Lloyd Williams, 8 Ryan Jones, 7 Justin Tipuric, 6 Josh Turnbull, 5 Ian Evans, 4 Alun Wyn Jones, 3 Rhodri Jones, 2 Matthew Rees (c), 1 Rhys Gill.
Replacements: 16 Richard Hibbard, 17 Paul James, 18 Aaron Shingler, 19 Martyn Williams, 20 Rhys Webb, 21 Adam Warren, 22 Will Harries
Wales v Barbarians betting tips
This is a strange one. On one hand you’ve a load of Welsh lads that are playing for places on the plane down under, and on the other you’ve a side full of star studded names that should wipe floor with them. Both teams should be fatigued,( the large Ospreys contingent for Wales should be anyway from last Sunday), and the Babaas have been out on the beer all week. Either team could win this game, it’s basically whoever wants it more. The way to go in the betting is most definitely for tryscorers. Halftime barbarians/full time wales also appeals if you think the effects of the drink will catch up with the Babaas at the end. You could do a lot worse than backing the Babaas to win though. There’s few players I’d swap into the babaas team from this Wales team, except for Biggar in for Donald.
- Barbarians win- theres just too much quality here to ignore this bet. If they want to win, they can win. 5/2 is tempting.
- Anytime tryscorer Muliaina at 9/4 is a steal. Gorgodze surely has to get one try this series and he’s 4/1. Nacewa is 5/4, a little short, but is on superb tryscoring form and his opposition will have dificulty stopping him. If you fancy a bit of a flutter, Gorgodze is 90/1 for a hattrick in Paddy Power!
- As mentioned above, Barbarians half time/wales full time is 13/2
- Lastly, as mentioned, this game could go either way, and backing the Barbarians to win by a decent margin isn’t as mental as you might think. The Barbarians 1-12 appeals though at 10/3,…. in that, if they do get ahead, and the game is won, you can’t see them holding the line grimly with 5 minutes to go.
Weather- it could be wet, so be careful if you’re backing the overs
Referee- Allan Rolland- expect plenty of Welsh moaning if he does somthing they don’t like.